Since Alonso arrived at the club this summer, Vinícius Jr. has found himself in unfamiliar territory. Though he remains statistically one of Madrid’s more dangerous attackers, his minutes have seen a marked decline. In the current season, he has not played a full 90 minutes in any match. He has been substituted in 10 of the 12 matches under Alonso, and for two others he began the match from the bench

In one particularly telling moment, despite a strong performance against Espanyol—where Vinícius created chances, assisted a goal, and looked sharp on the wing—Alonso substituted him, a decision that visibly upset the winger.

Negotiations over a contract extension have reportedly hit a snag. Vinícius is said to be seeking around €20 million net per season plus bonuses, but Real Madrid’s latest offers fell short or came without the same bonus structure.

Those close to him seem increasingly uneasy. He and his representatives are reportedly worried by what they see as diminished confidence from the coach, and whether his long-term role at the club is secure.

Could There Be a Departure in 2026?

Speculation has mounted that Vinícius may opt to leave when the time is right — either via a sale or by letting his contract run down. His current deal reportedly runs through 2027. But some reports now suggest that, if the current situation doesn’t improve, he may push for a move in 2026.

Clubs from outside Europe have reportedly monitored the situation, possibly seeing an opportunity if Madrid were motivated to cash in. Meanwhile, rumors suggest that Madrid’s patience may be limited if discussions continue to stall.

Alonso’s Rotation Policy Under Scrutiny

Alonso has defended the rotation and substitution decisions, insisting that the early season is physically demanding and requires depth in the squad. He acknowledged that players, including Vinícius, may feel frustrated but argued that keeping a full squad fit and ready requires managing minutes.

Yet critics argue that what’s happening with Vinícius is more than just tactical rotation — they see a change in how the club values his role. Álvaro Benito, a former player and pundit, recently remarked that benching Vinícius in a Champions League match at the Bernabéu for the first time in years is telling.

If the trend continues — limited minutes, stalled renewal, strained relationship — several scenarios could unfold:

• Transfer Move: Vinícius could be sold in 2026 to a club willing to pay a premium, particularly if Madrid decide his value should be realized then.
• Run Down Contract: He could stay through 2027 without signing a new deal, leaving as a free agent.
• Reconciliation & Renewal: It’s possible that talks could resume under improved terms, especially if Vinícius regains form or Alonso’s rotation policy eases.

Final Word: A Player’s Pride, A Club’s Dilemma

For now, Vinícius Jr. remains one of Real Madrid’s showpieces — charismatic, explosive, and clutch. But his reduced minutes have sparked questions: Is the club reimagining its forward line under Alonso, perhaps with more emphasis on versatility or other attacking talents? Is loyalty enough, or will professional ambition force a drastic change?

Real Madrid fans are watching closely. If this transfer bombshell detonates in 2026, it could mark the end of one chapter and the beginning of another — for both Vinícius and the club that once bet so heavily on his star.